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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 2/12/2024

LA Clippers vs Minnesota Timberwolves

 
 
 
James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+106/-141).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ +106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • James Harden has converted 3.6 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year.
  • Among all players in the NBA, James Harden registers in the 94th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 34.5 minutes per game this year.
  • As it relates to shooting, the Clippers's excellent 121.2 points per game settles in as the 3rd-strongest in the NBA over the last 20 games.
  • On the road, the Minnesota Timberwolves have given up the 4th-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
  • James Harden will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home tends to improve stat production for all stats.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • James Harden has totaled a measly 17.3 points per game this season, significantly less than his 20.9 points per game last season.
  • The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a difficult one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the 15th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (39.8%).
  • The Clippers have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year.
  • The Clippers are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from competing against the most lethargic pace road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Timberwolves).
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Clippers grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 6.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

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