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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 1/27/2024

Boston Celtics vs LA Clippers

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-115/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

James Harden has attempted 8.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

James Harden has tallied 33.8 minutes per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 91st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

The matchup against the Celtics is a positive one for 3-point shots; the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 30th-most 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (3.0).

Offensive rebounds save possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, and the LA Clippers grade out 6thbest in in the NBA when playing away from home with 11.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Clippers have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA while playing away from home this year.

The Clippers will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from competing against the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Boston Celtics).

Over the last 20 games, opposing squads have snagged 11.6 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Celtics (retaining possessions that can result in additional chances for offense).

James Harden has successfully made a mere 4.3 free throws per game this season, significantly lower than his 5.2 rate last season.

As a team, the LA Clippers have been lousy at drawing fouls recently: 4th-worst in the league over the last 10 games, totaling a mere 20.5 free throw attempts per game.

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