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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 1/26/2024

Toronto Raptors vs LA Clippers

 
 
 
James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the league, James Harden ranks in the 90th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 33.8 minutes per game while playing on the road this year.
  • This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have tallied 15.6 shot attempts per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Raptors, marking this as a good matchup.
  • The Clippers have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • James Harden has converted a measly 5.1 baskets per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 6.4 mark last year.
  • The LA Clippers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
  • The LA Clippers will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from squaring off against the 4th-most sluggish pace home team in the NBA this year (the Raptors).
  • The Raptors have allowed the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
  • James Harden has converted just 4.3 foul shots per game this season, significantly less than his 5.2 mark last season.

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