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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 12/20/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -131.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

James Harden has converted 4.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 more than he's converted overall this year while on the road.

James Harden has tallied 33.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 87th percentile.

The Mavericks have played at the 10th-speediest tempo in the league this year, which should increase possessions for the Clippers.

The Clippers check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

James Harden has sunk 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's made in all games this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With respect to three-point attempts, the 7th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Clippers.

This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have tallied 4.6 three attempts per game (12th-fewest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, making this a challenging matchup.

The LA Clippers have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA away from their home court this year.

This year, their opposition has nabbed 11.8 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks (lengthening possessions that can lead to added opportunities for offense).

Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

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