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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 12/2/2023

LA Clippers vs Golden State Warriors

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+106/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ +106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The matchup vs. the Warriors is a strong one for threes; the opposing team's starting PGs have compiled the 28th-highest three percentage in the league this year (42.5%).

The LA Clippers will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-most up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA this year (the Warriors).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Clippers rank 9thbest in in the NBA as the home team with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

On their home court, the Golden State Warriors have given up the 10th-least offensive boards per game (10.4) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Warriors is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted an enormous 6.8 foul shots per game this year (30th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last season's 20.9 mark, James Harden's points per game have been reduced this season to 15.3.

James Harden has attempted just 6.0 shots from downtown per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 7.3 rate last season.

James Harden has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 0.9 higher than he's committed overall this year at home.

The LA Clippers rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA at home this year.

The 7th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Clippers.

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