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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 11/30/2023

Golden State Warriors vs LA Clippers

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

James Harden has sunk an impressive 48.7% of his field goal attempts this year, quite a bit higher than his 43.6 rate last year.

The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a favorable one for shots from the field; opposing starting PGs have averaged the 28th-most shot attempts per game in the league this year (16.0).

The Clippers are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 8th-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Warriors).

The LA Clippers rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

James Harden has attempted 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.0 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last season's 7.3 mark, James Harden's shot attempts from beyond the arc have diminished this season to 5.7 per game.

James Harden has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.0 more than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road.

The Clippers check in as the 5th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team in terms of 3-point attempts.

The 7th-most lethargic pace away team in the NBA this year has been the LA Clippers.

This year when they are playing at home, their opposition has brought down 11.8 offensive boards per game (7th-most in the league) vs. the Warriors (continuing possessions that can lead to added chances for offense).

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