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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 11/24/2023

LA Clippers vs New Orleans Pelicans

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Clippers check in as the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league at home this year.

The LA Clippers have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league playing at home this year.

The LA Clippers are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this game from competing against the 4th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

This year when they are away from home, opposing teams have brought down 8.4 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans (losing possessions that could otherwise spark extra chances for offense).

Since the start of last season when they are on the road, opposing starting PGs have attempted 4.5 foul shots per game (26th-highest in the league) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

James Harden has made just 2.0 shots from downtown per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 2.8 mark last year.

Relative to last year's 36.7 rate, James Harden's playing time has been reduced this year to 31.9 minutes per game.

Since the start of last season, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 5.9 buckets per game (10th-fewest in the league) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, designating this as a hard matchup.

The LA Clippers rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Relative to last year's 5.2 rate, James Harden's foul shots hit have dropped this year to 4.3 per game.

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