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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 11/22/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs LA Clippers

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, James Harden slots into the 95th percentile for 3-point shots made without the home court advantage, totaling 2.7 per game since the start of last season.

James Harden has played 36.2 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 99th percentile.

This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 51.9% on field goal attempts (30th-best in the league) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, making this a strong matchup.

The Spurs have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Clippers.

The Clippers check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

James Harden has tallied 1.4 personal fouls per game this season, quite a bit more than his 2.0 fouls per game last season.

The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the LA Clippers.

This year, opposing teams have attempted 26.4 free throws per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Spurs, easily managing to get to the foul line.

James Harden will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually reduces player performance across the board.

More James Harden Player Props

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