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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 11/8/2023

Brooklyn Nets vs LA Clippers

 
 
 
James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • James Harden has sunk 2.8 threes per game while at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
  • James Harden has been on the court for 36.6 minutes per game while playing away from home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 99th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
  • In terms of scoring, the LA Clippers's outstanding 114.6 points per game while at home settles in as the 8th-strongest in the NBA since the start of last season.
  • The Clippers are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from facing the 10th-speediest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Brooklyn Nets).
  • Out of all players in the league, James Harden lands in the 96th percentile for foul shots drained, posting a monstrous 5.2 per game since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Since the start of last season, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 26.6% on threes (15th-weakest in the NBA) against the Brooklyn Nets, labeling this as a challenging matchup.
  • Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Clippers grade out 7thworst in in the league with just 8.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
  • While at home, the Brooklyn Nets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
  • James Harden will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases stat production across the board.

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