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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 4/6/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

James Harden has posted 21.0 points per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this metric.

James Harden has converted 2.8 3-point shots per game this year, ranking in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

James Harden has averaged 36.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 99th percentile.

The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Heat is a tough one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs this year (16.6).

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 20 games.

The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the 76ers.

The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

James Harden has attempted just 6.3 free throws per game this season, quite a bit less than his 7.9 rate last season.

More James Harden Player Props

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