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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 2/10/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs New York Knicks

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

James Harden has posted 21.1 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this standard: 90th percentile.

James Harden has sunk 4.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the year playing at home.

James Harden has tallied 36.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 99th percentile.

The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games at home.

This matchup is a strong one for field goals; when the Knicks are on the road, their opposition have put up the highest FG% in the NBA against them this year (45.4%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the 76ers.

The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

When playing on the road, the Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

James Harden has attempted just 6.4 foul shots per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 7.9 mark last year.

The matchup vs. the Knicks may be a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; their opposition have attempted a measly 28.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (3rd-least in the NBA).

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