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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 2/1/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs Orlando Magic

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

James Harden has converted 3.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season while on his home court.

James Harden has averaged 36.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 99th percentile.

The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home.

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games at home.

The Magic have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the 76ers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

James Harden has sunk a measly 5.4 foul shots per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 7.0 mark last year.

James Harden has accumulated 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 0.2 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season at home.

The matchup against the Magic is a difficult one; they have allowed the 10th-least points per game in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (117.2).

The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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