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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 1/28/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs Denver Nuggets

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

James Harden has converted 2.8 treys per game this year, ranking in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

James Harden has averaged 36.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 99th percentile.

The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games.

While playing away from home, the Nuggets have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to opposing squads this year (which also provide new chances for scoring and assists).

James Harden will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage generally improves stat production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

James Harden has sunk a lowly 5.5 free throws per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 7.0 rate last season.

James Harden has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's accumulated overall this year.

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a difficult one for field goals; without the home court advantage, opposing squads have compiled the 2nd-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (50.4%).

The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA this year.

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