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James Harden

James Harden Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 12/2/2023

LA Clippers vs Golden State Warriors

James Harden Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

James Harden has averaged 32.6 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The matchup vs. the Warriors is a strong one for threes; the opposing team's starting PGs have compiled the 28th-highest three percentage in the league this year (42.5%).

The LA Clippers will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-most up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA this year (the Warriors).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Clippers rank 9thbest in in the NBA as the home team with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

On their home court, the Golden State Warriors have given up the 10th-least offensive boards per game (10.4) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

James Harden has attempted just 6.0 shots from downtown per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 7.3 rate last season.

James Harden has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 0.9 higher than he's committed overall this year at home.

The LA Clippers check in as the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA while playing at home this year when it comes to shot attempts from downtown.

The 7th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Clippers.

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