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James Harden

James Harden Assists
Player Prop - 3/6/2024

Houston Rockets vs LA Clippers

 
 
 
James Harden Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-144/+118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -156 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the league, James Harden lands in the 94th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 34.6 minutes per game this year.
  • The LA Clippers are expected to see an increase in plays today from being pitted against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Rockets).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • James Harden has averaged a measly 8.3 assists per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 10.3 assists per game last year.
  • The Clippers have played at the 6th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA as the away team this year.
  • Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, but the LA Clippers grade out 3rdworst in in the league with only 8.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
  • Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have come down with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game (most in the league) against the Houston Rockets (preserving possessions that can spark added opportunities for offense).
  • James Harden will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to lower player production in all stat categories.

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