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James Harden

James Harden Assists
Player Prop - 1/7/2024

Los Angeles Lakers vs LA Clippers

 
 
 
James Harden Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • James Harden has averaged 11.0 assists per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
  • James Harden has played 33.6 minutes per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
  • The Clippers are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Lakers).
  • Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the LA Clippers rank 6thbest in in the league when playing away from home with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
  • The Lakers have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The LA Clippers have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league while playing on the road this year.
  • James Harden will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease player production in all stat categories.

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