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James Harden

James Harden Assists
Player Prop - 5/7/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
James Harden Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +103 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • James Harden has totaled 10.4 assists per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league by this metric: 100th percentile.
  • James Harden has been on the court for 36.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 99th percentile.
  • James Harden will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally raises stat production in all facets of the game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • James Harden has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's tallied over the course of the season.
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
  • The Celtics have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce plays for the 76ers.
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Celtics have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

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