Jamal Murray Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

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Jamal Murray

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 1:45 AM UTC

Analysis

Jamal Murray Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has tallied 4.0 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's tallied in all games this year.
The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the 3rd-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 4thbest in in the NBA with 11.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
Jamal Murray will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually boosts player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Jamal Murray has averaged a lowly 28.7 minutes per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 34.0 minutes per game last season.
Jamal Murray has been called for 0.3 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (98th percentile).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league at home this year.
The Thunder have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (14.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

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