Jamal Murray Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/2/2023

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Jamal Murray

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors · Feb 2, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Jamal Murray Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has averaged 1.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
Jamal Murray has tallied 31.2 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Warriors have played at the fastest pace in the league this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Nuggets.
When playing on the road, the Warriors have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jamal Murray will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally improves stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Jamal Murray has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (78th percentile).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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