Jamal Murray Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2023

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Jamal Murray

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers · Jan 20, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has posted 1.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games, 0.5 higher than he's posted in all games this year.
Jamal Murray has tallied 30.8 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 81st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should increase opportunities for the Pacers.
Jamal Murray will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally raises player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Jamal Murray has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (79th percentile).
The Pacers have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the NBA to the other team this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year while playing at home (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

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