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Jamal Murray

Jamal Murray Points
Player Prop - 3/12/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jamal Murray has logged 26.1 points per game over the last 10 games, 4.8 more than he's logged overall this year.

Jamal Murray has converted 4.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.1 higher than he's converted from three in all games this year while on his home court.

Among all players in the league, Jamal Murray registers in the 96th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 35.5 minutes per game while at home this year.

In terms of scoring, the Denver Nuggets's exceptional 126.4 points per game as the home team rates highest in the NBA over the last 20 games.

This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 2.6 3-pointers per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, creating a favorable matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 7th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year (the Timberwolves).

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a mere 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (2nd-least in the NBA).

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