Jamal Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 10/28/2024

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Jamal Murray

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets · Oct 28, 2024

Updated Oct 29, 2024 12:00 AM UTC

Analysis

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has attempted 17.3 field goals per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league.
Among all players in the league, Jamal Murray registers in the 92nd percentile for three-point effectiveness with a remarkable 41.2% rate since the start of last season.
Jamal Murray has been on the court for 32.9 minutes per game since the start of last season, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 86th percentile.
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season with respect to shots made from the field.
The Nuggets will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 10th-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA since the start of last season (the Raptors).

Favors Under

The Nuggets rank as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA since the start of last season when it comes to three-point attempts.
The matchup against the Raptors is a difficult one; they have allowed the 4th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 20 games (17.1).
The 4th-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA since the start of last season has been the Nuggets.
The matchup vs. Toronto may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.3 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Raptors have the home court advantage (5th-least in the league).
Jamal Murray is expected to experience a decrease in performance in all stat categories as a result of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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