Jamal Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 5/12/2024

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Jamal Murray

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · May 12, 2024

Updated May 13, 2024 12:01 AM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-140/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has attempted 21.3 shots per game over the last 10 games, 4.0 more than he's attempted overall this year.
Jamal Murray has tallied 37.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 more than he's tallied in all games this year.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 7th-best in the league on the road with 11.3 offensive boards per game this year.
Jamal Murray has converted 95.4% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 9.3% more than he's converted over the course of the season.

Favors Under

Jamal Murray has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated overall this season.
As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive offense in the NBA while on the road this year has been the Nuggets.
This year, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 39.8% on field goal attempts (weakest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, designating this as a tough matchup.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Denver Nuggets.
Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

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