Jamal Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 4/29/2024

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Jamal Murray

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 29, 2024

Updated Apr 30, 2024 2:11 AM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has attempted 21.2 shots per game over the last 5 games, 4.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Jamal Murray has played 36.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 more than he's played overall this year.
The Lakers have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the Denver Nuggets.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Jamal Murray has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 17.4% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season while on his home court.

Favors Under

As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 5.3 3-point attempts per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, creating a challenging matchup.
The 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

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