Jamal Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 4/22/2024

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Jamal Murray

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 22, 2024

Updated Apr 23, 2024 1:56 AM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has scored 25.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.0 higher than he's scored over the course of the season.
Jamal Murray has sunk 4.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's made from downtown over the course of the season.
Among all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray slots into the 82nd percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 31.2 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-fastest pace team in the league over the last 25 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 2nd-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a challenging one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Lakers are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 5th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.3).
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the NBA this year.

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