Jamal Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2024

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Jamal Murray

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz · Mar 9, 2024

Updated Mar 10, 2024 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-119/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -119.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Nuggets are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Jazz).
The Nuggets rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jamal Murray has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 17.3% higher than he's sunk in all games this year while at home.
Jamal Murray should see an increase in productivity for all stats considering possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc.
This year, the other team's starting PGs have shot 26.5% on threes (30th-worst in the NBA) against the Jazz, resulting in a challenging matchup.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (27th-lowest in the league) vs. the Jazz, making it tough to get to the foul line.

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