Jamal Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2024

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Jamal Murray

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 2, 2024

Updated Mar 3, 2024 3:12 AM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray slots into the 92nd percentile for shots from the field made, logging a monstrous 7.8 per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, Jamal Murray lands in the 83rd percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 31.2 minutes per game this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 15.6 shot attempts per game (24th-most in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers, designating this as a good matchup.
The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 11thbest in in the NBA while on the road with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road.
The 2nd-least up-tempo pace away team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Nuggets.
The Lakers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (11.9) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Jamal Murray is expected to suffer a reduction in production in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this game.

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