Jamal Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2024

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Jamal Murray

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 12, 2024

Updated Feb 13, 2024 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray lands in the 92nd percentile for field goal attempts, totaling 16.7 per game this year.
Jamal Murray has converted 3.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's made in all games this season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray slots into the 85th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 31.9 minutes per game this year.
The matchup vs. the Bucks is a positive one; they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs this year (21.7).
The Nuggets are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 3rd-fastest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home.
The most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets.
Over the last 25 games when they are on the road, the other team has come down with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (lengthening possessions that can bring about additional opportunities for offense).
Jamal Murray will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

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