Jamal Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 1/19/2024

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Jamal Murray

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 19, 2024

Updated Jan 20, 2024 3:51 AM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has sunk 9.2 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's put through the net overall this year.
Among all players in the league, Jamal Murray registers in the 81st percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 30.6 minutes per game this year.
The clash with Derrick White measures in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting PGs hitting an enormous 2.9 3-pointers per game this year.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Relative to last season's 6.8 clip, Jamal Murray's 3-point attempts have decreased this season to 5.6 per game.
With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive offense in the league while playing on the road this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
The matchup against Derrick White is a challenging one for drawing fouls; when defending opposing starting PGs this year, they have attempted a mere 3.0 foul shots per game (13th percentile).
Jamal Murray stands to suffer a drop-off in productivity in all stat categories due to playing on the visting team in this game.

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