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Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-122/+100).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -122.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Jamal Murray has attempted 20.9 field goals per game over the last 15 games, 3.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.Jamal Murray has attempted 9.0 three-point shots per game over the last 15 games when playing at home, 1.6 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home.Jamal Murray has averaged 42.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.3 more than he's averaged in all games this season.The Denver Nuggets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).While on the road, the Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Jamal Murray has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 0.1 higher than he's committed overall this year at home.The matchup against Miami is a hard one; when the Heat are the visiting squad, they have given up the 12th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs this year (16.3).The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Nuggets.As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been bad at getting to the free throw line: worst in the league this year, averaging just 22.3 foul shots per game.
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