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Jamal Murray

Jamal Murray Points
Player Prop - 6/7/2023

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jamal Murray has attempted 23.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 6.2 more than he's attempted overall this season on the road.

Jamal Murray has attempted 8.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's attempted overall this year.

Jamal Murray has tallied 41.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.9 higher than he's tallied overall this year.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road.

The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Heat is a tough one for shots from the field; the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 14th-least shots made from the field per game in the league this year (5.8).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while on the road.

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease possessions for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Heat may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted just 1.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games (12th-least in the NBA).

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