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Jamal Murray

Jamal Murray Points
Player Prop - 5/11/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jamal Murray has attempted 21.2 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 4.5 more than he's attempted in all games this year.

Jamal Murray has averaged 38.3 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Jamal Murray has made 92.1% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games, 8.7% more than he's converted overall this year.

The matchup vs. the Suns may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 5.5 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (28th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jamal Murray has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.1 more than he's accumulated in all games this season on the road.

The matchup vs. Phoenix is a hard one for attempts from downtown; when the Suns are at home, the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 15th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.4).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Suns have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

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