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Jamal Murray

Jamal Murray Points
Player Prop - 4/25/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jamal Murray has attempted 19.5 shots per game over the last 15 games playing at home, 3.3 more than he's attempted overall this season at home.

Jamal Murray has attempted 9.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 15 games playing at home, 2.6 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.

Jamal Murray has played 32.5 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

The matchup vs. Minnesota is a positive one for scoring; when the Timberwolves are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 30th-most buckets per game in the league this year (7.6).

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jamal Murray has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's accumulated overall this season.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league on their home court this year as it relates to three-point attempts.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home.

The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Nuggets.

The Timberwolves have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

More Jamal Murray Player Props

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