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Jamal Murray

Jamal Murray Points
Player Prop - 4/21/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets

Jamal Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jamal Murray has successfully made 3.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 15 games, 0.7 more than he's made from downtown overall this year.

Jamal Murray has played 32.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 88th percentile.

The matchup against the Timberwolves is a strong one for shots from the field; opposing starting PGs have totaled the 29th-most buckets per game in the NBA this year (7.4).

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Jamal Murray has sunk 94.8% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 12.2% more than he's made in all games this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jamal Murray has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Nuggets.

The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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