Jamal Murray Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2024

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Jamal Murray

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 12, 2024

Updated Feb 13, 2024 2:09 AM UTC

Analysis

Jamal Murray Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has converted 3.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's made in all games this season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray slots into the 85th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 31.9 minutes per game this year.
The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a positive one for three-point attempts; the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 26th-most three attempts per game in the league over the last 10 games (7.3).
The Nuggets are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 3rd-fastest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 3rdbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive team in the league away from home this year has been the Nuggets.
The most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets.
Over the last 25 games when they are on the road, the other team has come down with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (lengthening possessions that can bring about additional opportunities for offense).
Jamal Murray will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

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