Jamal Murray Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Chicago Bulls · Nov 4, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 12:37 AM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has made 2.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league.
Jamal Murray has averaged 33.9 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 86th percentile.
The matchup vs. Chicago is a good one for three-point attempts; when the Chicago Bulls are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the 23rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (6.0).
The Nuggets rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, their opposition has grabbed 9.7 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Chicago Bulls (losing possessions that could otherwise generate further opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA on their home court since the start of last season as it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
Over the last 6 games when they are on the road, opposing teams have shot 37.4% on 3-pointers (5th-best in the league) against the Bulls, marking this as a good matchup.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA on the road this year.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the slowest pace in the league away from their home city this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.