Jamal Murray Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/25/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 25, 2023

Updated Apr 26, 2023 1:57 AM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has converted 40.6% of his three-point shots while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile out of all players in the league.
Jamal Murray has attempted 9.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 15 games playing at home, 2.6 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.
Jamal Murray has played 32.5 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jamal Murray will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Jamal Murray has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's accumulated overall this season.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league on their home court this year as it relates to three-point attempts.
The matchup against the Timberwolves is a difficult one for attempts from downtown; the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 9th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (5.3).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home.
The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Nuggets.