Jamal Murray Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/23/2023

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Jamal Murray

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 23, 2023

Updated Apr 23, 2023 4:11 PM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-175/+140).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has sunk 3.3 threes per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year.
Jamal Murray has averaged 32.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 88th percentile.
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a good one for attempts from downtown; opposing starting PGs have averaged the 23rd-most three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games (6.2).
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jamal Murray has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league on the road this year in terms of attempts from downtown.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home.
The Timberwolves have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Nuggets.
The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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