Jamal Murray Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/16/2023

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Jamal Murray

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 16, 2023

Updated Apr 17, 2023 2:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Jamal Murray Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-142/+112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -184 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has converted 47.9% of his treys over the last 10 games, 8.8% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.
Jamal Murray has attempted 9.6 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, 2.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.
Jamal Murray has been on the court for 32.3 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The matchup against the Timberwolves is a good one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have compiled the 22nd-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (35.7%).
The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the league this year, which should increase plays for the Nuggets.

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as it relates to three-point attempts.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

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