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Jamal Murray

Jamal Murray Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 3/30/2023

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans

Jamal Murray Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-196/+150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -156 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -196.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jamal Murray has converted 4.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.6 higher than he's made from three overall this season at home.

Jamal Murray has played 31.9 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The matchup against New Orleans is a strong one for 3-point attempts; the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 29th-most three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 10 games when the Pelicans are the visiting squad (7.8).

The Denver Nuggets have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Pelicans have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (6.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jamal Murray has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated overall this year.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of attempts from downtown.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Pelicans have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road, which ought to decrease plays for the Nuggets.

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