Jamal Murray Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/19/2023

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Jamal Murray

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Brooklyn Nets vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 19, 2023

Updated Mar 19, 2023 12:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Jamal Murray Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-122/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +112 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has successfully made 2.6 shots from downtown per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 94th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Jamal Murray has averaged 32.5 minutes per game since the start of last season, ranking among the most used players in the league: 89th percentile.
The matchup vs. Brooklyn is a good one for three-pointers; when the Nets are at home, the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 29th-most 3-point shots per game in the league this year (2.8).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

The Nets have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
With the home court advantage, the Nets have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Jamal Murray will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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