Jamal Murray Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 23, 2023

Updated Feb 23, 2023 6:47 PM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has successfully made 2.4 three-pointers per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the league.
Jamal Murray has averaged 32.0 minutes per game since the start of last season, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 87th percentile.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

The matchup against Cleveland is a challenging one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 14th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 25 games when the Cavaliers are playing at home (4.1).
The Cavaliers have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games at home, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jamal Murray will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually decreases player production in all stat categories.