Jamal Murray Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2024

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Jamal Murray

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 10, 2024

Updated Jan 11, 2024 2:58 AM UTC

Analysis

Jamal Murray Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has compiled 7.4 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's compiled overall this year.
Jamal Murray has averaged 30.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 77th percentile.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase possessions for the Denver Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The slowest pace away team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets.
Over the last 15 games, their opposition has snagged 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Utah Jazz (retaining possessions that can spark bonus opportunities for offense).
Jamal Murray will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player production in all facets of the game.

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