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Jamal Murray

Jamal Murray Assists
Player Prop - 5/20/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Jamal Murray Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-142/+116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -142.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jamal Murray has posted 5.9 assists per game this year on the road, placing him among the league's best by this standard over this stretch of games: 94th percentile.
  • Jamal Murray has averaged 38.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.4 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.
  • The Lakers have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to increase plays for the Nuggets.
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games.
  • While playing at home, the Lakers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (14.6) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Jamal Murray will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens player production across the board.

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