Jamal Murray Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/16/2023

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Jamal Murray

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 16, 2023

Updated Apr 17, 2023 2:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Jamal Murray Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has tallied 7.4 assists per game over the last 15 games while playing at home, 1.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this season at home.
Jamal Murray has been on the court for 32.3 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the league this year, which should increase plays for the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jamal Murray will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage generally boosts player production across the board.

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

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