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Jamal Murray

Jamal Murray Assists
Player Prop - 3/18/2023

New York Knicks vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Jamal Murray Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jamal Murray has averaged 6.0 assists per game since the start of last season, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 95th percentile.
  • Jamal Murray has played 32.5 minutes per game since the start of last season, ranking among the most used players in the league: 89th percentile.
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
  • Playing at home, the Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Knicks have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Nuggets.
  • The Denver Nuggets rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Jamal Murray will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to lowers player production across the board.

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