Jalen Wilson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

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Jalen Wilson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Wilson

F · Brooklyn Nets

Rebounds

Brooklyn Nets vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Wilson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Wilson has put up 1.6 offensive rebounds per game this year at home, ranking him among the NBA's leaders by this metric in recent games: 86th percentile.
The Brooklyn Nets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Wilson figures to see a spike in output in all stat categories considering owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Brooklyn Nets.
The 76ers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Brooklyn Nets.
Over the last 25 games, their opposition has come down with 11.3 offensive boards per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers (retaining possessions that can generate added opportunities for offense).

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