Jalen Wilson Points - Player Prop Bet 2/5/2025

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Jalen Wilson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Wilson

F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Washington Wizards · Feb 5, 2025

Updated Feb 6, 2025 3:29 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Wilson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Wilson has averaged 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The matchup vs. the Washington Wizards is a strong one; they have given up the 7th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (15.7).
The Washington Wizards have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should boost plays for the Nets.
Jalen Wilson has attempted 4.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
As a team, the Brooklyn Nets have been among the best at getting to the foul line recently: 9th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games with 22.8 free throws per game.

Favors Under

Jalen Wilson has converted a mere 41.1% of his field goal attempts this season, quite a bit less than his 50.8 rate last season.
Jalen Wilson has attempted and missed 4.1 attempts from beyond the arc per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's missed from downtown over the course of the year with the home court advantage.
The least up-tempo pace team in the league this year has been the Brooklyn Nets.
The Nets rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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