Jalen Wilson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/2/2025

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Jalen Wilson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Wilson

F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Brooklyn Nets · Jan 2, 2025

Updated Jan 3, 2025 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Wilson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Wilson has played 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 higher than he's played overall this season.
The Brooklyn Nets have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home when it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 19.8 points per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Bucks, identifying this as a good matchup for offensive efficiency.
The Nets are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the 7th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).
The matchup against Milwaukee may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 5.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Bucks are on their home court (3rd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Jalen Wilson lands in the 24th percentile for 3-point efficiency while on the road with a bad 25.0% rate this year.
Jalen Wilson has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (75th percentile).
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Brooklyn Nets rank 3rdworst in in the league with just 8.9 offensive boards per game this year.
Jalen Wilson should suffer a drop-off in production across the board considering being on the road in this game.

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