Jalen Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 4/21/2024

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Jalen Williams

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Williams

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans · Apr 21, 2024

Updated Apr 21, 2024 9:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-145/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 14.1 clip, Jalen Williams's points per game have risen this season to 19.1.
Jalen Williams has successfully made a whopping 42.7% of his 3-pointers this year, a significant increase from his 33.7 rate last year.
Jalen Williams has played 29.9 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
In regard to scoring, the Thunder's superb 124.0 points per game places 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. New Orleans is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; when the New Orleans Pelicans are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.4).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams registers in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.3 fouls per game on his home court this year.
The Pelicans have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court, which ought to reduce possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with only 8.8 offensive boards per game this year.

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